Short-term Gains, Long-term Loss: Educational and Labor Market Outcomes of Agricultural Production Growth

主    讲：张川川（中央财经大学）

主    持：刘瑞明（中国人民大学国家发展与战略研究院）

时    间：2019年11月22日（周五）15:30-17:00

地    点：中国人民大学崇德西楼（原科研楼A座）916会议室

摘要：This paper investigates how agricultural production growth affects education and labor market outcomes by exploiting a natural experiment, i.e., China`s land reform in early 1980s. The land reform introduces the household responsibility system and rewards labor input in farming. We first show that the land reform increases agricultural production substantially. We then find that the land reform decreases significantly the likelihood of finishing high school among teenages. We find no similar effects in urban areas or for lower-level education. In addition, the effect of the land reform on high school completion is larger in areas that are less suitable for agricultural production or suffered more during China`s Great Famine. Finally, we find that the land reform leads to a lower likelihood of being employed in the non-agricultural sector and less income about two decades later.

主讲人简介：张川川，中央财经大学经济学院副教授，博士生导师，2013年博士毕业于北京大学国家发展研究院，获经济学博士学位，曾任哈佛大学经济系访问研究员和世界银行总行研究顾问。他的研究方向为公共经济学、健康经济学和劳动经济学，研究兴趣包括老龄问题和社会保障、健康状况的决定因素和影响、文化观念与经济行为、国际贸易与劳动力市场等。论文发表于American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, Demography, Health Economics, Journal of Population Economics, Journal of Comparative Economics,《中国社会科学》、《经济研究》、《经济学季刊》等国内外期刊。